Hi Alan. Rules and scoring information and a variety of links can be found here.
Originally Posted by AlanA
Math is fun!
If it helps anyone with making their predictions, I found it easier to determine how to achieve my goal by calculating an average weekly distance based on a predicted number of ride days.
FYI there are 78 days for Freezing Saddles 2017 which means there are ~11 weeks.
For fun, you can use the formula w = (p - 10d) / 11 (w is your weekly average, p is your prediction, and d is your number of predicted ride days) to find your needed weekly average.
In my case, my prediction is 2250 points.
- Based on previous years, I'm likely to miss 5 ride days due to travel/sickness/etc.
- Ride days would be 78 - 5 = 73. That gives a total of 73 X 10 = 730 points.
- The remaining points would be the number of miles I need to ride which is 2250 - 730 = 1520 miles.
- My average weekly distance to achieve this would then be 1520 / 11 = ~138.2 miles/week.
If I wanted to achieve my stretch goal of 2500 points, my weekly average would need to be 161 miles/week.
Last edited by bobco85; 01-06-2017 at 01:57 PM.
Reason: Contest ends March 19, not on the equinox, so 78 days
Actually, 78. Last year was a leap year. So if the whole contest seems shorter to you this year, you'll know why.
Originally Posted by bobco85
Ok, my guess is 1345! And my FS name is just "Sara" because I think I'm the only non-H Sara in the competition this year.
I had factored in 28 days for February, but I added March 20, the spring equinox, as a day, so my calculations were thrown off. I have now corrected them, but thanks for pointing out the ride day error.
Originally Posted by Steve O
Let's go for 1,100 for me (Erin).
This a stretch estimate/goal for me, being that last year my total was 0, and my calculation left me with around 800 as my more realistic goal based on my commuting habits. We'll see though--maybe I'll go even higher
My guess is (2525)
Bob C - final score (already achieved) - 35
Last edited by rcannon100; 01-06-2017 at 06:18 PM.
Reason: Hopefully the massive accomplishments of the Slacker team isnt too threatening to certain people
Post Thanks / Like - 1 Likes, 0 Dislikes, 0 ELITE
Originally Posted by edita
More to the point, I don't show you as registered for Freezing Saddles at all. Did you use a different forum name?
Last edited by cvcalhoun; 01-06-2017 at 06:51 PM.
Reason: I can't find the registration for edita.
Post Thanks / Like - 2 Likes, 0 Dislikes, 0 ELITE