Ah, the ol' "your study must be wrong because my anecdotal observations lead me to a different conclusion"....
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Ah, the ol' "your study must be wrong because my anecdotal observations lead me to a different conclusion"....
That's funny because you continue to mischaracterize the study to fit your own biases. As I posted on the e-bike thread awhile ago, although the study was done for NVRPA to inform policy for e-bikes on the W&OD, the findings of the study, including regarding speed, are not based on behavior on the W&OD. It just cites a study that found that e-bikes were observed to go faster on roads than analog bikes and slower on a MUP than analog bikes. I'd also note that the cited study also found nearly identical safety behavior between e-bikes and analog bikes. This would dispel the notion that e-bike riders can somehow be expected to be more careful than the rest of us "crazies".
That study is absolutely worthless for considerations about the W&OD or any other policy around Arlington/DC. That study was done around the University of Tennessee with e-bikes that have a top speed of 15mph - the iZip Trekking Enlightened. Also the "roads" and "shared use paths" in the study are university roads and paths heavily traveled by students, leading to really low speeds in general.
The average speeds from the study were as follows:
Vehicle type Average speed (kph) 99th percentile speed (kph)
On road
Bicycle 10.5 29.0
E-bike 13.3 32.0
Shared use
Bicycle 12.6 26.0
E-bike 11.0 25.4
Keep in mind that these are in kilometers per hours, so in mph we are talking about average speeds less than 9mph, which is entirely irrelevant to anything in this discussion or any other ebike discussion in this area.
These are at least valid criticisms of the study (and no, sjclaeys, I had not seen any post from you pointing this out before - I took the characterization from NovaParks). Though I don't see how they are completely irrelevant, they seem to indicate behavior within constraints.
A study where students are riding around on campus at 8mph on ebikes capped at 15mph has no relevance on policy for MUPs where typical riders are going ~12-15mph on pedal bikes and ebikes can go 28mph.
Those on-campus shared use paths the study used are filled with students and are more akin to riding on the sidewalk than an MUP, which is why you see the riding speeds in the 7-8mph range. If you wanted to use that study to infer that ebike riders on sidewalks ride at the same speed as non-powered bikes, that would be reasonable, as the study demonstrates that ebikes slow down a lot in busy, congested corridors as do non-powered riders.
There's a couple other references in the Nova Parks white paper that show ebikes ride 3-4 kph faster than non-powered bikes on paths in Germany and Sweden, and this is with a cap of 25kph (~15mph) and 250W on the ebikes. With 28mph ebikes being allowed on the MUPs locally, I'd imagine the real speed differential to be much higher than 3-4kph.
This is where I’d like to see ebike researchers like Chris Cherry at UTK and John MacArthur at PSU get funding to carry out a US study equivalent to the German naturalistic cycling study, equipping a variety of pedal bikes and ebikes with data measuring equipment, and getting some US data on path and road speed and behavior. The German study measured mean speed difference of 9kmh between pedal bikes and EU speed pedelecs/US Class 3 equivalent ebikes, speed difference should be lower between pedal bikes and Class 1 & 2 ebikes, Source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/scienc...25753515001976
So. trails.
In my City we got a trail, it's called the Holmes Run Trail. Multiple "temporary" detours. Some with no plans or funding in place to fix. IF we had huge numbers of ebikers relying on it, maybe the City would not let this languish?
Maybe the bike lanes on Seminary would be so full of riders even the most blinkered NIMBY couldn't say "but I don't see anyone riding there".
At some point, screw the Mount Vernon Trail (sorry Judd, et al, you know what I mean) and the Custis . Everything else in the region is just as, if not more, important. Bring on the Ebikes! MORE. NOW.
But isn't this what we care most about? Not how fast people biking (e- or not) go when there's no one else around, but how they behave around other people. This study seems to say people on ebikes slow down and behave, more so (relative to street riding) than people riding pedal bikes.
Also, Virginia law changed in July and ebikes that get assist up to 28mph aren't allowed.
But really, this. Once we have real congestion on bike trails, then we can talk about restrictions. For now, let's get more friends using our trails!
Link to law here; which I didn't know it has changed. However, the law doesn't say they can't be used, just that they aren't allowed to go faster than 25 MPH, even on the road it seems. Quote:
"No person shall at any time or at any location operate (i) an electric personal assistive mobility device or an electric power-assisted bicycle at a speed faster than 25 miles per hour"
The limit is less for scooters, 20 MPH.